Verisign Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 163.65

VRSN Stock  USD 189.10  2.00  1.07%   
VeriSign's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on VeriSign. Implied volatility approximates the future value of VeriSign based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in VeriSign over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $190.0 is a CALL option contract on VeriSign's common stock with a strick price of 190.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:26:34 for $2.65 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.65, and an ask price of $3.0. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 16.71. View All VeriSign options

Closest to current price VeriSign long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

VeriSign's future price is the expected price of VeriSign instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VeriSign performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VeriSign Backtesting, VeriSign Valuation, VeriSign Correlation, VeriSign Hype Analysis, VeriSign Volatility, VeriSign History as well as VeriSign Performance.
To learn how to invest in VeriSign Stock, please use our How to Invest in VeriSign guide.
  
At this time, VeriSign's Price To Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 1.02, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 24.74. Please specify VeriSign's target price for which you would like VeriSign odds to be computed.

VeriSign Target Price Odds to finish below 163.65

The tendency of VeriSign Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 163.65  or more in 90 days
 189.10 90 days 163.65 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VeriSign to drop to $ 163.65  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This VeriSign probability density function shows the probability of VeriSign Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VeriSign price to stay between $ 163.65  and its current price of $189.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VeriSign has a beta of 0.77. This entails as returns on the market go up, VeriSign average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VeriSign will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VeriSign has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   VeriSign Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VeriSign

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VeriSign. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VeriSign's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.74188.67189.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
170.19208.87209.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
184.40185.33186.26
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
204.69224.93249.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VeriSign. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VeriSign's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VeriSign's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VeriSign.

VeriSign Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VeriSign is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VeriSign's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VeriSign, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VeriSign within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.77
σ
Overall volatility
5.70
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

VeriSign Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VeriSign for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VeriSign can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VeriSign generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 1.8 B in liabilities. VeriSign has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist VeriSign until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VeriSign's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VeriSign sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VeriSign to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VeriSign's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: VeriSign Outpaces Stock Market Gains What You Should Know

VeriSign Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VeriSign Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VeriSign's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VeriSign's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments926.4 M

VeriSign Technical Analysis

VeriSign's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VeriSign Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VeriSign. In general, you should focus on analyzing VeriSign Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VeriSign Predictive Forecast Models

VeriSign's time-series forecasting models is one of many VeriSign's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VeriSign's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VeriSign

Checking the ongoing alerts about VeriSign for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VeriSign help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VeriSign generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 1.8 B in liabilities. VeriSign has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist VeriSign until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, VeriSign's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like VeriSign sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for VeriSign to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about VeriSign's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: VeriSign Outpaces Stock Market Gains What You Should Know
When determining whether VeriSign offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VeriSign's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Verisign Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Verisign Stock:

Complementary Tools for VeriSign Stock analysis

When running VeriSign's price analysis, check to measure VeriSign's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VeriSign is operating at the current time. Most of VeriSign's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VeriSign's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VeriSign's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VeriSign to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is VeriSign's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VeriSign. If investors know VeriSign will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VeriSign listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.531
Earnings Share
7.9
Revenue Per Share
14.44
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.03
Return On Assets
0.3592
The market value of VeriSign is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VeriSign that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VeriSign's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VeriSign's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VeriSign's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VeriSign's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VeriSign's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VeriSign is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VeriSign's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.