Visa Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 187.3975

V -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Visa probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Visa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish below 187.3975

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 187.40  after 30 days
 179.66 30 days 187.40 
close to 99
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to stay under $ 187.40  after 30 days from now is close to 99 (This Visa probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Visa price to stay between its current price of $ 179.66  and $ 187.40  at the end of the 30-day period is about 22.25 .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Visa has beta of 0.9235 . This entails Visa market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Visa is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Visa is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Visa Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.1
β
Beta against DOW=0.92
σ
Overall volatility
=3.03
Ir
Information ratio =0.09

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Visa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from newssimatic.us: Worth Watching Stocks to Keep Your Eyes on Visa Inc, - NewsSimatic

VisaPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.33%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.05
Short Percent Of Float1.69%
Float Shares1.7B
Shares Short Prior Month28.94M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.07M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.11M
Date Short InterestOctober 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.59%
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