USAA Aggressive Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 44.5

USA
UIAGX -- USA Fund  

USD 40.58  0.08  0.20%

USAA Aggressive probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of USAA Aggressive Growth Fd Insti performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify USAA Aggressive time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like USAA Aggressive odds to be computed. Also please take a look at USAA Aggressive Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, USAA Aggressive Correlation, USAA Aggressive Hype Analysis, USAA Aggressive Volatility, USAA Aggressive History as well as USAA Aggressive Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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USAA Aggressive Target Price Odds to finish below 44.5

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 44.50  after 30 days
 40.58 30 days 44.50 
about 82.49
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of USAA Aggressive to stay under $ 44.50  after 30 days from now is about 82.49 (This USAA Aggressive Growth Fd Insti probability density function shows the probability of USAA Aggressive Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of USAA Aggressive Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 40.58  and $ 44.50  at the end of the 30-day period is about 56.34 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, USAA Aggressive has beta of 0.8871 . This entails USAA Aggressive Growth Fd Insti market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, USAA Aggressive is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. USAA Aggressive Growth is significantly underperforming DOW.
 USAA Aggressive Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.17
β
Beta against DOW=0.89
σ
Overall volatility
=2.49
Ir
Information ratio =0.08

USAA Aggressive Alerts and Suggestions

USAA Aggressive generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
On December 23, 2019 USAA Aggressive paid $ 0.048 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund generated five year return of 0.0%
USAA Aggressive Growth keeps 98.6% of its net assets in stocks

USAA AggressivePrice Density Drivers