Twitter Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 41.0

TWTR -- USA Stock  

USD 42.06  0.57  1.34%

Twitter probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed. Also please take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 41.0

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 41.00  in 30 days
 42.06 30 days 41.00 
ABOUT 36.32%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to stay above $ 41.00  in 30 days from now is about 36.32% (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between $ 41.00  and its current price of $42.06 at the end of the 30-day period is under 4%.
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.1744 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Twitter will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2445 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2445% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Twitter Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.24
β
Beta against DOW=1.17
σ
Overall volatility
=10.03
Ir
Information ratio =0.11

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from Baratta Luca: Twitter exotic insider transaction detected

TwitterPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.07%
Short Percent Of Float3.16%
Float Shares742M
Shares Short Prior Month23.64M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day14.94M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.31M
Date Short InterestAugust 15, 2019
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