Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 27.32

TILWX Fund  USD 26.42  0.03  0.11%   
Tiaa Cref's future price is the expected price of Tiaa Cref instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tiaa Cref Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tiaa Cref Correlation, Tiaa Cref Hype Analysis, Tiaa Cref Volatility, Tiaa Cref History as well as Tiaa Cref Performance.
  
Please specify Tiaa Cref's target price for which you would like Tiaa Cref odds to be computed.

Tiaa Cref Target Price Odds to finish over 27.32

The tendency of Tiaa Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 27.32  or more in 90 days
 26.42 90 days 27.32 
roughly 2.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tiaa Cref to move over $ 27.32  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.0 (This Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of Tiaa Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tiaa-cref Large-cap price to stay between its current price of $ 26.42  and $ 27.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This usually implies Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tiaa Cref is expected to follow. Additionally Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth has an alpha of 0.0248, implying that it can generate a 0.0248 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tiaa Cref Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tiaa Cref

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tiaa-cref Large-cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa Cref's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.3926.4227.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9625.9927.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.5226.5627.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.3326.4426.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tiaa Cref. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tiaa Cref's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tiaa Cref's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tiaa-cref Large-cap.

Tiaa Cref Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tiaa Cref is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tiaa Cref's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tiaa Cref within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Tiaa Cref Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tiaa Cref for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tiaa-cref Large-cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.6% of its assets in stocks

Tiaa Cref Technical Analysis

Tiaa Cref's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tiaa Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tiaa Cref Large Cap Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tiaa Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tiaa Cref Predictive Forecast Models

Tiaa Cref's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tiaa Cref's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tiaa Cref's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tiaa-cref Large-cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tiaa Cref for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tiaa-cref Large-cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.6% of its assets in stocks
Check out Tiaa Cref Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Tiaa Cref Correlation, Tiaa Cref Hype Analysis, Tiaa Cref Volatility, Tiaa Cref History as well as Tiaa Cref Performance.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running Tiaa Cref's price analysis, check to measure Tiaa Cref's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tiaa Cref is operating at the current time. Most of Tiaa Cref's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tiaa Cref's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tiaa Cref's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tiaa Cref to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tiaa Cref's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tiaa Cref is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tiaa Cref's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.