>

TIAA CREF Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 18.83

TIA
TILWX -- USA Fund  

USD 23.98  0.29  1.19%

TIAA CREF probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of TIAA CREF Large Cap Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify TIAA CREF time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TIAA CREF odds to be computed. Additionally take a look at TIAA CREF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TIAA CREF Correlation, TIAA CREF Hype Analysis, TIAA CREF Volatility, TIAA CREF History as well as TIAA CREF Performance.
Symbol:
Refresh Odds

TIAA CREF Target Price Odds to finish below 18.83

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.83  or more in 30 days
 23.98 30 days 18.83 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of TIAA CREF to drop to $ 18.83  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This TIAA CREF Large Cap Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of TIAA CREF Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of TIAA CREF Large price to stay between $ 18.83  and its current price of $23.98 at the end of the 30-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, TIAA CREF Large Cap Growth Fund has beta of -0.0016 . This entails as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding TIAA CREF are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, TIAA CREF Large Cap Growth Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.147 implying that it can potentially generate 0.147% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 TIAA CREF Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.15
β
Beta against DOW=0.0016
σ
Overall volatility
=0.94
Ir
Information ratio =0.048746

TIAA CREF Alerts and Suggestions

Latest headline from slatersentinel.com: Choate Investment Advisors Makes New 201,000 Investment in Clorox Co - Slater Sentinel
The fund maintains 99.26% of its assets in stocks

TIAA CREFPrice Density Drivers