The Ered Bridge Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.73

TCBAX Fund  USD 9.05  0.03  0.33%   
The Covered's future price is the expected price of The Covered instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Ered Bridge performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out The Covered Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, The Covered Correlation, The Covered Hype Analysis, The Covered Volatility, The Covered History as well as The Covered Performance.
  
Please specify The Covered's target price for which you would like The Covered odds to be computed.

The Covered Target Price Odds to finish over 9.73

The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 9.73  or more in 90 days
 9.05 90 days 9.73 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Covered to move over $ 9.73  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This The Ered Bridge probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ered Bridge price to stay between its current price of $ 9.05  and $ 9.73  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Covered has a beta of 0.66. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, The Covered average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Ered Bridge will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Ered Bridge has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   The Covered Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for The Covered

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ered Bridge. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Covered's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.519.059.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.509.049.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.539.079.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.979.029.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as The Covered. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against The Covered's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, The Covered's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ered Bridge.

The Covered Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Covered is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Covered's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Ered Bridge, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Covered within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

The Covered Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Covered for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ered Bridge can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.88% of its assets in stocks

The Covered Technical Analysis

The Covered's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. The Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Ered Bridge. In general, you should focus on analyzing The Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

The Covered Predictive Forecast Models

The Covered's time-series forecasting models is one of many The Covered's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary The Covered's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ered Bridge

Checking the ongoing alerts about The Covered for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ered Bridge help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.88% of its assets in stocks
Check out The Covered Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, The Covered Correlation, The Covered Hype Analysis, The Covered Volatility, The Covered History as well as The Covered Performance.
Note that the Ered Bridge information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other The Covered's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between The Covered's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if The Covered is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, The Covered's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.