Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 258.0
| SRAJ Stock | IDR 1,715 0.00 0.00% |
Sejahteraraya |
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Target Price Odds to finish below 258.0
The tendency of Sejahteraraya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 258.00 or more in 90 days |
| 1,715 | 90 days | 258.00 | about 11.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya to drop to 258.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.8 (This Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Sejahteraraya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya price to stay between 258.00 and its current price of 1715.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk has a beta of -0.53. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk has an alpha of 2.8225, implying that it can generate a 2.82 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 2.82 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 537.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.35 |
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Sejahteraraya is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 203.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sejahteraraya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 94.0% of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sejahteraraya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 700.9 B |
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Technical Analysis
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sejahteraraya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sejahteraraya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya Predictive Forecast Models
Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Sejahteraraya is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 203.17 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.17, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sejahteraraya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 94.0% of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Sejahteraraya Stock analysis
When running Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's price analysis, check to measure Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya is operating at the current time. Most of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sejahteraraya Anugrahjaya to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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