Saker Aviation Services Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 3.6

SKAS Stock  USD 8.37  0.03  0.36%   
Saker Aviation's future price is the expected price of Saker Aviation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saker Aviation Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Saker Aviation Backtesting, Saker Aviation Valuation, Saker Aviation Correlation, Saker Aviation Hype Analysis, Saker Aviation Volatility, Saker Aviation History as well as Saker Aviation Performance.
  
Please specify Saker Aviation's target price for which you would like Saker Aviation odds to be computed.

Saker Aviation Target Price Odds to finish below 3.6

The tendency of Saker OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.60  or more in 90 days
 8.37 90 days 3.60 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saker Aviation to drop to $ 3.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saker Aviation Services probability density function shows the probability of Saker OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saker Aviation Services price to stay between $ 3.60  and its current price of $8.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.41 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Saker Aviation has a beta of 0.34. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saker Aviation average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saker Aviation Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saker Aviation Services has an alpha of 0.1415, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Saker Aviation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Saker Aviation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saker Aviation Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saker Aviation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.948.3710.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.627.059.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.738.1710.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.358.388.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Saker Aviation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Saker Aviation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Saker Aviation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Saker Aviation Services.

Saker Aviation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saker Aviation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saker Aviation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saker Aviation Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saker Aviation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Saker Aviation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saker Aviation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saker Aviation Services can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Saker Aviation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Saker OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Saker Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Saker Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding975.1 K

Saker Aviation Technical Analysis

Saker Aviation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saker OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saker Aviation Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saker OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saker Aviation Predictive Forecast Models

Saker Aviation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Saker Aviation's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saker Aviation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saker Aviation Services

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saker Aviation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saker Aviation Services help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Saker Aviation Backtesting, Saker Aviation Valuation, Saker Aviation Correlation, Saker Aviation Hype Analysis, Saker Aviation Volatility, Saker Aviation History as well as Saker Aviation Performance.
Note that the Saker Aviation Services information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Saker Aviation's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

Complementary Tools for Saker OTC Stock analysis

When running Saker Aviation's price analysis, check to measure Saker Aviation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saker Aviation is operating at the current time. Most of Saker Aviation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saker Aviation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saker Aviation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saker Aviation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Saker Aviation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Saker Aviation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saker Aviation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.