S E (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.61

SEBA Stock  EUR 13.03  0.14  1.09%   
S E's future price is the expected price of S E instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of S E BANKEN A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out S E Backtesting, S E Valuation, S E Correlation, S E Hype Analysis, S E Volatility, S E History as well as S E Performance.
  
Please specify S E's target price for which you would like S E odds to be computed.

S E Target Price Odds to finish below 7.61

The tendency of SEBA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 7.61  or more in 90 days
 13.03 90 days 7.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of S E to drop to € 7.61  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This S E BANKEN A probability density function shows the probability of SEBA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of S-E BANKEN -A- price to stay between € 7.61  and its current price of €13.03 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, S E will likely underperform. Additionally S E BANKEN A has an alpha of 0.3557, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   S E Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for S E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as S-E BANKEN -A-. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of S E's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0313.0316.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2714.2717.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0514.0517.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8512.9813.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as S E. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against S E's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, S E's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in S-E BANKEN -A-.

S E Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. S E is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the S E's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold S E BANKEN A , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of S E within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

S E Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of S E for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for S-E BANKEN -A- can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S E generates negative cash flow from operations

S E Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SEBA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential S E's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. S E's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Dividend Yield0.0812

S E Technical Analysis

S E's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SEBA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of S E BANKEN A . In general, you should focus on analyzing SEBA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

S E Predictive Forecast Models

S E's time-series forecasting models is one of many S E's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary S E's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about S-E BANKEN -A-

Checking the ongoing alerts about S E for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for S-E BANKEN -A- help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
S E generates negative cash flow from operations
Check out S E Backtesting, S E Valuation, S E Correlation, S E Hype Analysis, S E Volatility, S E History as well as S E Performance.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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When running S E's price analysis, check to measure S E's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy S E is operating at the current time. Most of S E's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of S E's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move S E's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of S E to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between S E's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if S E is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, S E's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.