Investment Of America Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 40.3

RICFX Fund  USD 55.48  0.01  0.02%   
Investment's future price is the expected price of Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Investment Of America performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investment Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Investment Correlation, Investment Hype Analysis, Investment Volatility, Investment History as well as Investment Performance.
  
Please specify Investment's target price for which you would like Investment odds to be computed.

Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 40.3

The tendency of Investment Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 40.30  or more in 90 days
 55.48 90 days 40.30 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investment to drop to $ 40.30  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Investment Of America probability density function shows the probability of Investment Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investment Of America price to stay between $ 40.30  and its current price of $55.48 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Investment Of America has a beta of -0.0509 indicating as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Investment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Investment Of America is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Investment Of America has an alpha of 0.1663, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investment Of America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
54.7955.4956.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.7454.4461.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Investment Of America.

Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investment Of America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investment Of America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.72% of its assets in cash

Investment Technical Analysis

Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investment Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investment Of America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investment Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investment's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Investment Of America

Checking the ongoing alerts about Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investment Of America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 8.72% of its assets in cash
Check out Investment Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Investment Correlation, Investment Hype Analysis, Investment Volatility, Investment History as well as Investment Performance.
Note that the Investment Of America information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Investment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

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When running Investment's price analysis, check to measure Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.