Indofood Sukses Makmur Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 25.57

PIFMY Stock  USD 20.40  0.60  2.86%   
Indofood Sukses' future price is the expected price of Indofood Sukses instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indofood Sukses Makmur performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indofood Sukses Backtesting, Indofood Sukses Valuation, Indofood Sukses Correlation, Indofood Sukses Hype Analysis, Indofood Sukses Volatility, Indofood Sukses History as well as Indofood Sukses Performance.
  
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Indofood Sukses Target Price Odds to finish below 25.57

The tendency of Indofood Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 25.57  after 90 days
 20.40 90 days 25.57 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indofood Sukses to stay under $ 25.57  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Indofood Sukses Makmur probability density function shows the probability of Indofood Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indofood Sukses Makmur price to stay between its current price of $ 20.40  and $ 25.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Indofood Sukses has a beta of 0.0271 indicating as returns on the market go up, Indofood Sukses average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indofood Sukses Makmur will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indofood Sukses Makmur has an alpha of 0.0033, implying that it can generate a 0.003339 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Indofood Sukses Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indofood Sukses

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indofood Sukses Makmur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Indofood Sukses' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7420.4022.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5317.1922.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7020.3622.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.4020.4020.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Indofood Sukses. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Indofood Sukses' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Indofood Sukses' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Indofood Sukses Makmur.

Indofood Sukses Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indofood Sukses is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indofood Sukses' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indofood Sukses Makmur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indofood Sukses within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Indofood Sukses Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indofood Sukses for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indofood Sukses Makmur can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indofood Sukses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Indofood Sukses Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indofood Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indofood Sukses' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indofood Sukses' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.8 B

Indofood Sukses Technical Analysis

Indofood Sukses' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indofood Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indofood Sukses Makmur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indofood Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indofood Sukses Predictive Forecast Models

Indofood Sukses' time-series forecasting models is one of many Indofood Sukses' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indofood Sukses' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indofood Sukses Makmur

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indofood Sukses for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indofood Sukses Makmur help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indofood Sukses generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out Indofood Sukses Backtesting, Indofood Sukses Valuation, Indofood Sukses Correlation, Indofood Sukses Hype Analysis, Indofood Sukses Volatility, Indofood Sukses History as well as Indofood Sukses Performance.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Indofood Sukses' price analysis, check to measure Indofood Sukses' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indofood Sukses is operating at the current time. Most of Indofood Sukses' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indofood Sukses' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indofood Sukses' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indofood Sukses to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Indofood Sukses' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Indofood Sukses is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Indofood Sukses' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.