Nestle Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 104.54

NSRGF Stock  USD 105.46  0.31  0.29%   
Nestle SA's future price is the expected price of Nestle SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nestle SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nestle SA Backtesting, Nestle SA Valuation, Nestle SA Correlation, Nestle SA Hype Analysis, Nestle SA Volatility, Nestle SA History as well as Nestle SA Performance.
  
Please specify Nestle SA's target price for which you would like Nestle SA odds to be computed.

Nestle SA Target Price Odds to finish over 104.54

The tendency of Nestle Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 104.54  in 90 days
 105.46 90 days 104.54 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nestle SA to stay above $ 104.54  in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Nestle SA probability density function shows the probability of Nestle Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nestle SA price to stay between $ 104.54  and its current price of $105.46 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nestle SA has a beta of -0.19. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Nestle SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Nestle SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nestle SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Nestle SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nestle SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nestle SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nestle SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.20105.46106.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.7095.96116.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.86104.12105.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
104.99105.27105.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nestle SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nestle SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nestle SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nestle SA.

Nestle SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nestle SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nestle SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nestle SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nestle SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Nestle SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nestle SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nestle SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nestle SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 54.03 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Nestle SA has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nestle SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nestle SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nestle SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nestle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nestle SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Nestle SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nestle Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nestle SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nestle SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.8 B

Nestle SA Technical Analysis

Nestle SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nestle Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nestle SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nestle Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nestle SA Predictive Forecast Models

Nestle SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nestle SA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nestle SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nestle SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nestle SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nestle SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nestle SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 54.03 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Nestle SA has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Nestle SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Nestle SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Nestle SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Nestle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Nestle SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Nestle SA Backtesting, Nestle SA Valuation, Nestle SA Correlation, Nestle SA Hype Analysis, Nestle SA Volatility, Nestle SA History as well as Nestle SA Performance.
Note that the Nestle SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nestle SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Nestle SA's price analysis, check to measure Nestle SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nestle SA is operating at the current time. Most of Nestle SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nestle SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nestle SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nestle SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Nestle SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nestle SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nestle SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.