Niu Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.32
| NIU Stock | USD 2.03 0.02 0.98% |
Niu |
Niu Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 9.32
The tendency of Niu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.32 or more in 90 days |
| 2.03 | 90 days | 9.32 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Niu Technologies to move over $ 9.32 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Niu Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Niu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Niu Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 2.03 and $ 9.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.19 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Niu Technologies has a beta of -0.92. This indicates Additionally Niu Technologies has an alpha of 0.4345, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Niu Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Niu Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Niu Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Niu Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Niu Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Niu Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Niu Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Niu Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Niu Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Niu Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Niu Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Niu Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Niu Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.79 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (178.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 669.68 M. | |
| Niu Technologies has about 841.03 M in cash with (121.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Niu Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Niu Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Niu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Niu Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Niu Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 903.3 M |
Niu Technologies Technical Analysis
Niu Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Niu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Niu Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Niu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Niu Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Niu Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Niu Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Niu Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Niu Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Niu Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Niu Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Niu Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.79 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (178.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 669.68 M. | |
| Niu Technologies has about 841.03 M in cash with (121.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Niu Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out Niu Technologies Backtesting, Niu Technologies Valuation, Niu Technologies Correlation, Niu Technologies Hype Analysis, Niu Technologies Volatility, Niu Technologies History as well as Niu Technologies Performance. For more information on how to buy Niu Stock please use our How to Invest in Niu Technologies guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Niu Stock analysis
When running Niu Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Niu Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Niu Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Niu Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Niu Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Niu Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Niu Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Niu Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Niu Technologies. If investors know Niu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Niu Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Niu Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Niu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Niu Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Niu Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Niu Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Niu Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Niu Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Niu Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Niu Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.