Wetzel SA (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 5.17
| MWET4 Preferred Stock | BRL 5.29 0.06 1.15% |
Wetzel |
Wetzel SA Target Price Odds to finish below 5.17
The tendency of Wetzel Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 5.17 or more in 90 days |
| 5.29 | 90 days | 5.17 | about 10.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wetzel SA to drop to R$ 5.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.23 (This Wetzel SA probability density function shows the probability of Wetzel Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wetzel SA price to stay between R$ 5.17 and its current price of R$5.29 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wetzel SA has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Wetzel SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wetzel SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wetzel SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Wetzel SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wetzel SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wetzel SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wetzel SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wetzel SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wetzel SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wetzel SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wetzel SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wetzel SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Wetzel SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wetzel SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wetzel SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wetzel SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wetzel SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 24.08 M in total debt. Wetzel SA has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wetzel SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wetzel SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wetzel SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wetzel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wetzel SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Wetzel SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wetzel Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wetzel SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wetzel SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 722 K |
Wetzel SA Technical Analysis
Wetzel SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wetzel Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wetzel SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wetzel Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wetzel SA Predictive Forecast Models
Wetzel SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wetzel SA's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wetzel SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wetzel SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wetzel SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wetzel SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wetzel SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Wetzel SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company has accumulated 24.08 M in total debt. Wetzel SA has a current ratio of 0.31, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wetzel SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wetzel SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wetzel SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wetzel to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wetzel SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Wetzel SA Backtesting, Wetzel SA Valuation, Wetzel SA Correlation, Wetzel SA Hype Analysis, Wetzel SA Volatility, Wetzel SA History as well as Wetzel SA Performance. Note that the Wetzel SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wetzel SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Wetzel Preferred Stock analysis
When running Wetzel SA's price analysis, check to measure Wetzel SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wetzel SA is operating at the current time. Most of Wetzel SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wetzel SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wetzel SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wetzel SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk |