Merlin Properties (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.25
| MRL Stock | EUR 10.34 0.10 0.96% |
Merlin |
Merlin Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 13.25
The tendency of Merlin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 13.25 after 90 days |
| 10.34 | 90 days | 13.25 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merlin Properties to stay under € 13.25 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Merlin Properties SOCIMI probability density function shows the probability of Merlin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Merlin Properties SOCIMI price to stay between its current price of € 10.34 and € 13.25 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Merlin Properties SOCIMI has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Merlin Properties are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Merlin Properties SOCIMI is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Merlin Properties SOCIMI has an alpha of 0.1818, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Merlin Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Merlin Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merlin Properties SOCIMI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Merlin Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Merlin Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merlin Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merlin Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merlin Properties SOCIMI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merlin Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Merlin Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merlin Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merlin Properties SOCIMI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Merlin Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merlin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merlin Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merlin Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 474.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 942.9 M |
Merlin Properties Technical Analysis
Merlin Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Merlin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Merlin Properties SOCIMI. In general, you should focus on analyzing Merlin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Merlin Properties Predictive Forecast Models
Merlin Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Merlin Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Merlin Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Merlin Properties SOCIMI
Checking the ongoing alerts about Merlin Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Merlin Properties SOCIMI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Merlin Properties Backtesting, Merlin Properties Valuation, Merlin Properties Correlation, Merlin Properties Hype Analysis, Merlin Properties Volatility, Merlin Properties History as well as Merlin Properties Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Merlin Stock analysis
When running Merlin Properties' price analysis, check to measure Merlin Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Merlin Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Merlin Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Merlin Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Merlin Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Merlin Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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