Moneygram Int Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.43

MGIDelisted Stock  USD 10.99  0.00  0.00%   
Moneygram Int's future price is the expected price of Moneygram Int instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Moneygram Int performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
  
Please specify Moneygram Int's target price for which you would like Moneygram Int odds to be computed.

Moneygram Int Target Price Odds to finish over 2.43

The tendency of Moneygram Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 2.43  in 90 days
 10.99 90 days 2.43 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Moneygram Int to stay above $ 2.43  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Moneygram Int probability density function shows the probability of Moneygram Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Moneygram Int price to stay between $ 2.43  and its current price of $10.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.07 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Moneygram Int has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Moneygram Int average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Moneygram Int will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Moneygram Int has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Moneygram Int Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Moneygram Int

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Moneygram Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moneygram Int's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9910.9910.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.998.9912.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Moneygram Int. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Moneygram Int's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Moneygram Int's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Moneygram Int.

Moneygram Int Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Moneygram Int is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Moneygram Int's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Moneygram Int, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Moneygram Int within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Moneygram Int Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Moneygram Int for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Moneygram Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moneygram Int is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Moneygram Int has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Moneygram Int Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Moneygram Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Moneygram Int's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moneygram Int's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments172.1 M

Moneygram Int Technical Analysis

Moneygram Int's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Moneygram Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Moneygram Int. In general, you should focus on analyzing Moneygram Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Moneygram Int Predictive Forecast Models

Moneygram Int's time-series forecasting models is one of many Moneygram Int's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Moneygram Int's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Moneygram Int

Checking the ongoing alerts about Moneygram Int for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Moneygram Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Moneygram Int is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Moneygram Int has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Note that the Moneygram Int information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moneygram Int's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Other Consideration for investing in Moneygram Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Moneygram Int check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Moneygram Int's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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