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MEDIFAST INC Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 115.58

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MED -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: February 26, 2020  

MEDIFAST INC probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of MEDIFAST INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify MEDIFAST INC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MEDIFAST INC odds to be computed. Additionally see MEDIFAST INC Backtesting, MEDIFAST INC Valuation, MEDIFAST INC Correlation, MEDIFAST INC Hype Analysis, MEDIFAST INC Volatility, MEDIFAST INC History as well as MEDIFAST INC Performance.
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MEDIFAST INC Target Price Odds to finish over 115.58

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 115.58  or more in 30 days
 102.45 30 days 115.58 
about 7.4
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of MEDIFAST INC to move over $ 115.58  or more in 30 days from now is about 7.4 (This MEDIFAST INC probability density function shows the probability of MEDIFAST INC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of MEDIFAST INC price to stay between its current price of $ 102.45  and $ 115.58  at the end of the 30-day period is about 31.28 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 1.36 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, MEDIFAST INC will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3272 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3272% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 MEDIFAST INC Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.33
β
Beta against DOW=1.36
σ
Overall volatility
=11.33
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

MEDIFAST INC Alerts and Suggestions

Over 120.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On December 26, 2019 MEDIFAST INC paid $ 1.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.franchising.com: Medifast, Inc. to Announce Financial Results for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year Ended December 31, 2019 - Franchising.com

MEDIFAST INCPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out32.48%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.00
Short Percent Of Float44.73%
Float Shares8.96M
Shares Short Prior Month4.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day191.14k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month309.19k
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.85%