Spark Networks SE Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.69

LOVDelisted Stock  USD 0.01  0.01  50.57%   
Spark Networks' future price is the expected price of Spark Networks instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Spark Networks SE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
  
Please specify Spark Networks' target price for which you would like Spark Networks odds to be computed.

Spark Networks Target Price Odds to finish over 8.69

The tendency of Spark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 8.69  or more in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 8.69 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spark Networks to move over $ 8.69  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Spark Networks SE probability density function shows the probability of Spark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spark Networks SE price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01  and $ 8.69  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Spark Networks SE has a beta of -7.17. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Spark Networks SE are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Spark Networks is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Spark Networks SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Spark Networks Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Spark Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spark Networks SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spark Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Spark Networks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Spark Networks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Spark Networks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Spark Networks SE.

Spark Networks Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spark Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spark Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spark Networks SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spark Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.9
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-7.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Spark Networks Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spark Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spark Networks SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spark Networks SE is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Spark Networks SE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spark Networks SE has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 96.23 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.98, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Spark Networks SE has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Spark Networks until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spark Networks' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spark Networks SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spark Networks' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 187.76 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.19 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 84.93 M.
Spark Networks SE has about 11.35 M in cash with (9.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Spark Networks Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spark Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spark Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments11.4 M

Spark Networks Technical Analysis

Spark Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spark Networks SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Spark Networks Predictive Forecast Models

Spark Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Spark Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spark Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Spark Networks SE

Checking the ongoing alerts about Spark Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spark Networks SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spark Networks SE is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Spark Networks SE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spark Networks SE has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has 96.23 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 4.98, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Spark Networks SE has a current ratio of 0.33, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Spark Networks until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Spark Networks' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Spark Networks SE sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Spark to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Spark Networks' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 187.76 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.19 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 84.93 M.
Spark Networks SE has about 11.35 M in cash with (9.57 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.43, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in Spark Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Spark Networks SE check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Spark Networks' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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