Eli Lilly And Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 142.26

LLY Stock  USD 777.96  0.22  0.03%   
Eli Lilly's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Eli Lilly And. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Eli Lilly based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Eli Lilly And over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $777.5 is a CALL option contract on Eli Lilly's common stock with a strick price of 777.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 15:56:26 for $4.42 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.1, and an ask price of $4.85. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 24.93. View All Eli options

Closest to current price Eli long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Eli Lilly's future price is the expected price of Eli Lilly instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eli Lilly And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eli Lilly Backtesting, Eli Lilly Valuation, Eli Lilly Correlation, Eli Lilly Hype Analysis, Eli Lilly Volatility, Eli Lilly History as well as Eli Lilly Performance.
  
At this time, Eli Lilly's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Sales Ratio is likely to rise to 16.15 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (5.94). Please specify Eli Lilly's target price for which you would like Eli Lilly odds to be computed.

Eli Lilly Target Price Odds to finish below 142.26

The tendency of Eli Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 142.26  or more in 90 days
 777.96 90 days 142.26 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eli Lilly to drop to $ 142.26  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eli Lilly And probability density function shows the probability of Eli Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eli Lilly And price to stay between $ 142.26  and its current price of $777.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Eli Lilly has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Eli Lilly average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eli Lilly And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eli Lilly And has an alpha of 0.4135, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eli Lilly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eli Lilly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eli Lilly And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eli Lilly's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
777.88779.53781.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
732.59734.24856.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
817.08818.72820.37
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
549.25603.57669.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eli Lilly. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eli Lilly's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eli Lilly's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eli Lilly And.

Eli Lilly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eli Lilly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eli Lilly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eli Lilly And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eli Lilly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.48
σ
Overall volatility
73.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Eli Lilly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eli Lilly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eli Lilly And can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of March 2024 Eli Lilly paid $ 1.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Eli Lilly Advances While Market Declines Some Information for Investors

Eli Lilly Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eli Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eli Lilly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eli Lilly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding903.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.9 B

Eli Lilly Technical Analysis

Eli Lilly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eli Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eli Lilly And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eli Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eli Lilly Predictive Forecast Models

Eli Lilly's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eli Lilly's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eli Lilly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eli Lilly And

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eli Lilly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eli Lilly And help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of March 2024 Eli Lilly paid $ 1.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Eli Lilly Advances While Market Declines Some Information for Investors
When determining whether Eli Lilly And offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Eli Lilly's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Eli Lilly And Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Eli Lilly And Stock:

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When running Eli Lilly's price analysis, check to measure Eli Lilly's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eli Lilly is operating at the current time. Most of Eli Lilly's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eli Lilly's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eli Lilly's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eli Lilly to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eli Lilly's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eli Lilly. If investors know Eli will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eli Lilly listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.13
Dividend Share
4.52
Earnings Share
5.81
Revenue Per Share
37.908
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.281
The market value of Eli Lilly And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eli that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eli Lilly's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eli Lilly's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eli Lilly's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eli Lilly's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eli Lilly's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eli Lilly is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eli Lilly's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.