Lincoln Educational Services Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.04
| LINC Stock | USD 9.94 0.11 1.12% |
Closest to current price Lincoln long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Lincoln |
Lincoln Educational Target Price Odds to finish over 2.04
The tendency of Lincoln Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 2.04 in 90 days |
| 9.94 | 90 days | 2.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lincoln Educational to stay above $ 2.04 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lincoln Educational Services probability density function shows the probability of Lincoln Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lincoln Educational price to stay between $ 2.04 and its current price of $9.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lincoln Educational will likely underperform. Additionally Lincoln Educational Services has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Lincoln Educational Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lincoln Educational
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lincoln Educational. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lincoln Educational's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lincoln Educational Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lincoln Educational is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lincoln Educational's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lincoln Educational Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lincoln Educational within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Lincoln Educational Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lincoln Educational for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lincoln Educational can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lincoln Educational is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lincoln Educational has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Placer County breweries Slice Beer Co., Shred Beer Co. settle legal dispute |
Lincoln Educational Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lincoln Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lincoln Educational's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lincoln Educational's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.3 M |
Lincoln Educational Technical Analysis
Lincoln Educational's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lincoln Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lincoln Educational Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lincoln Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lincoln Educational Predictive Forecast Models
Lincoln Educational's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lincoln Educational's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lincoln Educational's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lincoln Educational
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lincoln Educational for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lincoln Educational help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lincoln Educational is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lincoln Educational has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Placer County breweries Slice Beer Co., Shred Beer Co. settle legal dispute |
Check out Lincoln Educational Backtesting, Lincoln Educational Valuation, Lincoln Educational Correlation, Lincoln Educational Hype Analysis, Lincoln Educational Volatility, Lincoln Educational History as well as Lincoln Educational Performance. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Lincoln Stock analysis
When running Lincoln Educational's price analysis, check to measure Lincoln Educational's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lincoln Educational is operating at the current time. Most of Lincoln Educational's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lincoln Educational's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lincoln Educational's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lincoln Educational to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lincoln Educational's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lincoln Educational. If investors know Lincoln will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lincoln Educational listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.14) | Earnings Share 0.85 | Revenue Per Share 12.558 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 | Return On Assets 0.0131 |
The market value of Lincoln Educational is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lincoln that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lincoln Educational's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lincoln Educational's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lincoln Educational's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lincoln Educational's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lincoln Educational's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lincoln Educational is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lincoln Educational's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.