Kokoh Inti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 115.0

KOIN Stock  IDR 70.00  3.00  4.11%   
Kokoh Inti's future price is the expected price of Kokoh Inti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kokoh Inti Arebama performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kokoh Inti Backtesting, Kokoh Inti Valuation, Kokoh Inti Correlation, Kokoh Inti Hype Analysis, Kokoh Inti Volatility, Kokoh Inti History as well as Kokoh Inti Performance.
  
Please specify Kokoh Inti's target price for which you would like Kokoh Inti odds to be computed.

Kokoh Inti Target Price Odds to finish below 115.0

The tendency of Kokoh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  115.00  after 90 days
 70.00 90 days 115.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kokoh Inti to stay under  115.00  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kokoh Inti Arebama probability density function shows the probability of Kokoh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kokoh Inti Arebama price to stay between its current price of  70.00  and  115.00  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kokoh Inti Arebama has a beta of -0.57. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Kokoh Inti are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Kokoh Inti Arebama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kokoh Inti Arebama has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Kokoh Inti Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kokoh Inti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kokoh Inti Arebama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kokoh Inti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.6070.0073.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.9261.3277.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.7669.1672.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.0372.7575.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kokoh Inti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kokoh Inti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kokoh Inti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kokoh Inti Arebama.

Kokoh Inti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kokoh Inti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kokoh Inti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kokoh Inti Arebama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kokoh Inti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.57
σ
Overall volatility
2.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Kokoh Inti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kokoh Inti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kokoh Inti Arebama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kokoh Inti Arebama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kokoh Inti Arebama has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2.58 T. Net Loss for the year was (27.84 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.26 B.
Kokoh Inti Arebama has accumulated about 42.35 B in cash with (79.56 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 120.48.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kokoh Inti Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kokoh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kokoh Inti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kokoh Inti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding980.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42.4 B

Kokoh Inti Technical Analysis

Kokoh Inti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kokoh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kokoh Inti Arebama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kokoh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kokoh Inti Predictive Forecast Models

Kokoh Inti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kokoh Inti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kokoh Inti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kokoh Inti Arebama

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kokoh Inti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kokoh Inti Arebama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kokoh Inti Arebama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kokoh Inti Arebama has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2.58 T. Net Loss for the year was (27.84 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 213.26 B.
Kokoh Inti Arebama has accumulated about 42.35 B in cash with (79.56 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 120.48.
Roughly 91.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Kokoh Inti Backtesting, Kokoh Inti Valuation, Kokoh Inti Correlation, Kokoh Inti Hype Analysis, Kokoh Inti Volatility, Kokoh Inti History as well as Kokoh Inti Performance.
You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running Kokoh Inti's price analysis, check to measure Kokoh Inti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kokoh Inti is operating at the current time. Most of Kokoh Inti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kokoh Inti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kokoh Inti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kokoh Inti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Kokoh Inti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kokoh Inti is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kokoh Inti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.