Kraft Heinz Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 39.13

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KHC -- USA Stock  

USD 30.67  0.34  1.10%

Kraft Heinz probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of The Kraft Heinz Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Kraft Heinz time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kraft Heinz odds to be computed. Please also see Kraft Heinz Backtesting, Kraft Heinz Valuation, Kraft Heinz Correlation, Kraft Heinz Hype Analysis, Kraft Heinz Volatility, Kraft Heinz History as well as Kraft Heinz Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Kraft Heinz Target Price Odds to finish over 39.13

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 39.13  or more in 30 days
 30.67 30 days 39.13 
near 1
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Kraft Heinz to move over $ 39.13  or more in 30 days from now is near 1 (This The Kraft Heinz Company probability density function shows the probability of Kraft Heinz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Kraft Heinz price to stay between its current price of $ 30.67  and $ 39.13  at the end of the 30-day period is about 58.82 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Kraft Heinz has beta of 0.5246 indicating as returns on market go up, Kraft Heinz average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding The Kraft Heinz Company will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1288 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1288% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Kraft Heinz Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.13
β
Beta against DOW=0.52
σ
Overall volatility
=1.48
Ir
Information ratio =0.02993

Kraft Heinz Alerts and Suggestions

The company has $31.77 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
The company reported last year revenue of 25.64 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (11.1 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.12 B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from newssmooth.com: Watch List NEWS The Kraft Heinz Company, - NewsSmooth

Kraft HeinzPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out1.12%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.83
Short Percent Of Float2.18%
Float Shares643.25M
Shares Short Prior Month14.97M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.91M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.66M
Date Short InterestDecember 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.86%