Kraft Heinz Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.96

KHC Stock  USD 36.53  0.16  0.44%   
Kraft Heinz's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Kraft Heinz Co. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Kraft Heinz based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Kraft Heinz Co over a specific time period. For example, 2024-03-28 CALL at $36.5 is a CALL option contract on Kraft Heinz's common stock with a strick price of 36.5 expiring on 2024-03-28. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 15:59:48 for $0.14 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.12, and an ask price of $0.14. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 26.01. View All Kraft options

Closest to current price Kraft long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Kraft Heinz's future price is the expected price of Kraft Heinz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kraft Heinz Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kraft Heinz Backtesting, Kraft Heinz Valuation, Kraft Heinz Correlation, Kraft Heinz Hype Analysis, Kraft Heinz Volatility, Kraft Heinz History as well as Kraft Heinz Performance.
  
At present, Kraft Heinz's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.15, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.12. Please specify Kraft Heinz's target price for which you would like Kraft Heinz odds to be computed.

Kraft Heinz Target Price Odds to finish below 30.96

The tendency of Kraft Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 30.96  or more in 90 days
 36.53 90 days 30.96 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kraft Heinz to drop to $ 30.96  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kraft Heinz Co probability density function shows the probability of Kraft Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kraft Heinz price to stay between $ 30.96  and its current price of $36.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.62 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Kraft Heinz Co has a beta of -0.0265. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Kraft Heinz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Kraft Heinz Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kraft Heinz Co has an alpha of 0.042, implying that it can generate a 0.042 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kraft Heinz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kraft Heinz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraft Heinz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kraft Heinz's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.2636.5337.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1733.4440.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.0637.3338.59
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.1736.4540.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kraft Heinz. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kraft Heinz's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kraft Heinz's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kraft Heinz.

Kraft Heinz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kraft Heinz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kraft Heinz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kraft Heinz Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kraft Heinz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Kraft Heinz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kraft Heinz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kraft Heinz can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 20.65 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Kraft Heinz has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Kraft Heinz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kraft Heinz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kraft Heinz sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kraft to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kraft Heinz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Kraft Heinz has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 28.0% of Kraft Heinz outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from oilprice.com: Disposition of 718 shares by Frost Diana of Kraft Heinz at 38.68 subject to Rule 16b-3

Kraft Heinz Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kraft Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kraft Heinz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kraft Heinz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Kraft Heinz Technical Analysis

Kraft Heinz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kraft Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kraft Heinz Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kraft Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kraft Heinz Predictive Forecast Models

Kraft Heinz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kraft Heinz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kraft Heinz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kraft Heinz

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kraft Heinz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kraft Heinz help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 20.65 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Kraft Heinz has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Kraft Heinz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kraft Heinz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kraft Heinz sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kraft to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kraft Heinz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Kraft Heinz has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 28.0% of Kraft Heinz outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from oilprice.com: Disposition of 718 shares by Frost Diana of Kraft Heinz at 38.68 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Kraft Heinz offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kraft Heinz's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kraft Heinz Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kraft Heinz Co Stock:
Check out Kraft Heinz Backtesting, Kraft Heinz Valuation, Kraft Heinz Correlation, Kraft Heinz Hype Analysis, Kraft Heinz Volatility, Kraft Heinz History as well as Kraft Heinz Performance.
Note that the Kraft Heinz information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kraft Heinz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for Kraft Stock analysis

When running Kraft Heinz's price analysis, check to measure Kraft Heinz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kraft Heinz is operating at the current time. Most of Kraft Heinz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kraft Heinz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kraft Heinz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kraft Heinz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Is Kraft Heinz's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kraft Heinz. If investors know Kraft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kraft Heinz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
2.31
Revenue Per Share
21.711
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Kraft Heinz is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kraft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kraft Heinz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kraft Heinz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kraft Heinz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kraft Heinz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kraft Heinz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kraft Heinz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kraft Heinz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.