Jianpu Technology Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.17

JTDelisted Stock  USD 0.78  0.03  4.00%   
Jianpu Technology's future price is the expected price of Jianpu Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jianpu Technology performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
  
Please specify Jianpu Technology's target price for which you would like Jianpu Technology odds to be computed.

Jianpu Technology Target Price Odds to finish below 1.17

The tendency of Jianpu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 1.17  after 90 days
 0.78 90 days 1.17 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jianpu Technology to stay under $ 1.17  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Jianpu Technology probability density function shows the probability of Jianpu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jianpu Technology price to stay between its current price of $ 0.78  and $ 1.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.59 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Jianpu Technology has a beta of -0.42. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Jianpu Technology are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Jianpu Technology is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jianpu Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Jianpu Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jianpu Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jianpu Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jianpu Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.7711.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.6311.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jianpu Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jianpu Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jianpu Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jianpu Technology.

Jianpu Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jianpu Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jianpu Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jianpu Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jianpu Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Jianpu Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jianpu Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jianpu Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jianpu Technology is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Jianpu Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jianpu Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Jianpu Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Jianpu Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.08 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (48.14 M) with gross profit of 212.41 M.
Jianpu Technology reports about 346.54 M in cash with (154.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Jianpu Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jianpu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jianpu Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jianpu Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments346.5 M

Jianpu Technology Technical Analysis

Jianpu Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jianpu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jianpu Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jianpu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jianpu Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Jianpu Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jianpu Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jianpu Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jianpu Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jianpu Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jianpu Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jianpu Technology is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Jianpu Technology generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jianpu Technology has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Jianpu Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Jianpu Technology has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.08 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (48.14 M) with gross profit of 212.41 M.
Jianpu Technology reports about 346.54 M in cash with (154.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.81, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Consideration for investing in Jianpu Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Jianpu Technology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Jianpu Technology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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