>

JD Com Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 40.06

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#FCD202;color: white;font-size:4em;padding-top: 25px;;'>JD</div>
JD -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: February 27, 2020  

JD Com probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JD Com performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JD Com time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JD Com odds to be computed. Please see JD Com Backtesting, JD Com Valuation, JD Com Correlation, JD Com Hype Analysis, JD Com Volatility, JD Com History as well as JD Com Performance.
Symbol:
Refresh Odds

JD Com Target Price Odds to finish below 40.06

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 40.06  or more in 30 days
 41.97 30 days 40.06 
about 85.75
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JD Com to drop to $ 40.06  or more in 30 days from now is about 85.75 (This JD Com probability density function shows the probability of JD Com Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of JD Com price to stay between $ 40.06  and its current price of $41.97 at the end of the 30-day period is about 9.28 .
Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, JD Com has beta of 0.2025 . This indicates as returns on market go up, JD Com average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding JD Com will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3301 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3301% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 JD Com Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.33
β
Beta against DOW=0.20
σ
Overall volatility
=3.27
Ir
Information ratio =0.15

JD Com Alerts and Suggestions

The company reports 2.96 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 20.6 which implies that the company may not be able to produce enough cash to satisfy its debt commitments. JD Com has Current Ratio of 0.96 implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time.
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: JD.com is Still a Better Pick Than Alibaba Stock - Nasdaq

JD ComPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.38%
Float Shares819.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day11.17M
Shares Short Prior Month43.13M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.75M
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020