Invesco Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.42

IVZ Stock  USD 16.59  0.14  0.85%   
Invesco Plc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Invesco Plc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Invesco Plc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Invesco Plc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $17.0 is a CALL option contract on Invesco Plc's common stock with a strick price of 17.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 13:20:00 for $0.29 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $0.3. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 28.95. View All Invesco options

Closest to current price Invesco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Invesco Plc's future price is the expected price of Invesco Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Plc Backtesting, Invesco Plc Valuation, Invesco Plc Correlation, Invesco Plc Hype Analysis, Invesco Plc Volatility, Invesco Plc History as well as Invesco Plc Performance.
For more information on how to buy Invesco Stock please use our How to Invest in Invesco Plc guide.
  
At this time, Invesco Plc's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 0.77 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to (79.55). Please specify Invesco Plc's target price for which you would like Invesco Plc odds to be computed.

Invesco Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 17.42

The tendency of Invesco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 17.42  after 90 days
 16.59 90 days 17.42 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Plc to stay under $ 17.42  after 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Invesco Plc probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Plc price to stay between its current price of $ 16.59  and $ 17.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.77 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.27 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Invesco Plc will likely underperform. Additionally Invesco Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Invesco Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.5316.5918.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.4916.5518.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8316.8918.96
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.5115.9417.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Plc.

Invesco Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Invesco Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.72 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (96.9 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.9 B.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of March 2024 Invesco Plc paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Nvidia Falls Below Trendline, Feds Waller In No Rush To Cut Rates

Invesco Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invesco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invesco Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding456.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 B

Invesco Plc Technical Analysis

Invesco Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.72 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (96.9 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.9 B.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of March 2024 Invesco Plc paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Nvidia Falls Below Trendline, Feds Waller In No Rush To Cut Rates
When determining whether Invesco Plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Invesco Plc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Invesco Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Invesco Plc Stock:
Check out Invesco Plc Backtesting, Invesco Plc Valuation, Invesco Plc Correlation, Invesco Plc Hype Analysis, Invesco Plc Volatility, Invesco Plc History as well as Invesco Plc Performance.
For more information on how to buy Invesco Stock please use our How to Invest in Invesco Plc guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Invesco Stock analysis

When running Invesco Plc's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Invesco Plc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Plc. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Plc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
(0.73)
Revenue Per Share
12.569
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Invesco Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Plc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Plc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Plc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Plc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Plc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.