Ing Group Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.25

ING Stock  USD 16.26  0.17  1.06%   
ING Group's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ING Group NV. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ING Group based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ING Group NV over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $16.0 is a CALL option contract on ING Group's common stock with a strick price of 16.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-27 at 13:25:55 for $0.45 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.45, and an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 20.02. View All ING options

Closest to current price ING long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

ING Group's future price is the expected price of ING Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ING Group NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ING Group Backtesting, ING Group Valuation, ING Group Correlation, ING Group Hype Analysis, ING Group Volatility, ING Group History as well as ING Group Performance.
  
At this time, ING Group's Price To Book Ratio is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The ING Group's current Price Fair Value is estimated to increase to 1.38, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.05. Please specify ING Group's target price for which you would like ING Group odds to be computed.

ING Group Target Price Odds to finish below 11.25

The tendency of ING Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.25  or more in 90 days
 16.26 90 days 11.25 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ING Group to drop to $ 11.25  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ING Group NV probability density function shows the probability of ING Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ING Group NV price to stay between $ 11.25  and its current price of $16.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ING Group has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ING Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ING Group NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ING Group NV has an alpha of 0.0526, implying that it can generate a 0.0526 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ING Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ING Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ING Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ING Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9016.2817.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7217.1018.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.5115.8917.27
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.0918.7820.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ING Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ING Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ING Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ING Group NV.

ING Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ING Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ING Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ING Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ING Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.000012

ING Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ING Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ING Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ING Group NV has about 259.31 B in cash with (11.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 68.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
ING Group NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investors in Inghams Group have seen returns of 1.0 percent over the past five years

ING Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ING Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ING Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ING Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments-90.2 B

ING Group Technical Analysis

ING Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ING Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ING Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing ING Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ING Group Predictive Forecast Models

ING Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many ING Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ING Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ING Group NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about ING Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ING Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ING Group NV has about 259.31 B in cash with (11.34 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 68.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
ING Group NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investors in Inghams Group have seen returns of 1.0 percent over the past five years
When determining whether ING Group NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze ING Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ING Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ING Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running ING Group's price analysis, check to measure ING Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ING Group is operating at the current time. Most of ING Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ING Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ING Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ING Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ING Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ING Group. If investors know ING will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ING Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Dividend Share
1.106
Earnings Share
2.22
Revenue Per Share
4.947
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.95)
The market value of ING Group NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ING that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ING Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ING Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ING Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ING Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ING Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ING Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ING Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.