Intercontinental Exchange Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 91.91

ICE Stock  USD 137.43  0.45  0.33%   
Intercontinental's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Intercontinental Exchange. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Intercontinental based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Intercontinental Exchange over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $135.0 is a CALL option contract on Intercontinental's common stock with a strick price of 135.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 14:33:17 for $3.9 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.9, and an ask price of $4.1. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 17.46. View All Intercontinental options

Closest to current price Intercontinental long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Intercontinental's future price is the expected price of Intercontinental instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intercontinental Exchange performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Intercontinental Backtesting, Intercontinental Valuation, Intercontinental Correlation, Intercontinental Hype Analysis, Intercontinental Volatility, Intercontinental History as well as Intercontinental Performance.
  
At present, Intercontinental's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 28.75, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.85. Please specify Intercontinental's target price for which you would like Intercontinental odds to be computed.

Intercontinental Target Price Odds to finish below 91.91

The tendency of Intercontinental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 91.91  or more in 90 days
 137.43 90 days 91.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intercontinental to drop to $ 91.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Intercontinental Exchange probability density function shows the probability of Intercontinental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intercontinental Exchange price to stay between $ 91.91  and its current price of $137.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.93 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Intercontinental has a beta of 0.95. This usually indicates Intercontinental Exchange market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Intercontinental is expected to follow. Additionally Intercontinental Exchange has an alpha of 0.0162, implying that it can generate a 0.0162 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intercontinental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intercontinental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intercontinental Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intercontinental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.40137.43138.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.04114.07151.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
139.49140.52141.55
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
122.36134.46149.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intercontinental. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intercontinental's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intercontinental's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intercontinental Exchange.

Intercontinental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intercontinental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intercontinental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intercontinental Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intercontinental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
5.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Intercontinental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intercontinental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intercontinental Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Intercontinental Exchange Sets Date for 2024 Virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders

Intercontinental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intercontinental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intercontinental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intercontinental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding565 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Intercontinental Technical Analysis

Intercontinental's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intercontinental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intercontinental Exchange. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intercontinental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intercontinental Predictive Forecast Models

Intercontinental's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intercontinental's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intercontinental's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intercontinental Exchange

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intercontinental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intercontinental Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Intercontinental Exchange Sets Date for 2024 Virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders
When determining whether Intercontinental Exchange is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intercontinental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intercontinental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intercontinental Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Intercontinental Backtesting, Intercontinental Valuation, Intercontinental Correlation, Intercontinental Hype Analysis, Intercontinental Volatility, Intercontinental History as well as Intercontinental Performance.
Note that the Intercontinental Exchange information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intercontinental's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Intercontinental Stock analysis

When running Intercontinental's price analysis, check to measure Intercontinental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intercontinental is operating at the current time. Most of Intercontinental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intercontinental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intercontinental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intercontinental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Is Intercontinental's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intercontinental. If investors know Intercontinental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intercontinental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Dividend Share
1.68
Earnings Share
4.19
Revenue Per Share
14.163
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.245
The market value of Intercontinental Exchange is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intercontinental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intercontinental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intercontinental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intercontinental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intercontinental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intercontinental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intercontinental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intercontinental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.