Hexcel Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 76.05

HXL Stock  USD 72.80  0.37  0.51%   
Hexcel's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hexcel. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hexcel based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hexcel over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $75.0 is a CALL option contract on Hexcel's common stock with a strick price of 75.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 13:25:44 for $0.82 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 22.21. View All Hexcel options

Closest to current price Hexcel long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Hexcel's future price is the expected price of Hexcel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hexcel performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hexcel Backtesting, Hexcel Valuation, Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Hype Analysis, Hexcel Volatility, Hexcel History as well as Hexcel Performance.
For more information on how to buy Hexcel Stock please use our How to buy in Hexcel Stock guide.
  
At this time, Hexcel's Price To Book Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to rise to 25.48 this year, although the value of Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to rise to (3.36). Please specify Hexcel's target price for which you would like Hexcel odds to be computed.

Hexcel Target Price Odds to finish over 76.05

The tendency of Hexcel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 76.05  or more in 90 days
 72.80 90 days 76.05 
about 5.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hexcel to move over $ 76.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.53 (This Hexcel probability density function shows the probability of Hexcel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hexcel price to stay between its current price of $ 72.80  and $ 76.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hexcel has a beta of 0.63. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hexcel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hexcel will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hexcel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Hexcel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hexcel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hexcel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hexcel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.1372.8074.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.0873.7575.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.4174.0875.74
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
68.6875.4783.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hexcel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hexcel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hexcel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hexcel.

Hexcel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hexcel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hexcel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hexcel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hexcel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.63
σ
Overall volatility
2.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Hexcel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hexcel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hexcel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hexcel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hexcel has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of February 2024 Hexcel paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Core Materials Market worth 3.0 billion by 2028 - Exclusive Report by MarketsandMarkets

Hexcel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hexcel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hexcel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hexcel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding85.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments227 M

Hexcel Technical Analysis

Hexcel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hexcel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hexcel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hexcel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hexcel Predictive Forecast Models

Hexcel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hexcel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hexcel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hexcel

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hexcel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hexcel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hexcel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hexcel has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of February 2024 Hexcel paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Core Materials Market worth 3.0 billion by 2028 - Exclusive Report by MarketsandMarkets
When determining whether Hexcel is a strong investment it is important to analyze Hexcel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Hexcel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Hexcel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Hexcel Backtesting, Hexcel Valuation, Hexcel Correlation, Hexcel Hype Analysis, Hexcel Volatility, Hexcel History as well as Hexcel Performance.
For more information on how to buy Hexcel Stock please use our How to buy in Hexcel Stock guide.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running Hexcel's price analysis, check to measure Hexcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hexcel is operating at the current time. Most of Hexcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hexcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hexcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hexcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hexcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hexcel. If investors know Hexcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hexcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.452
Dividend Share
0.5
Earnings Share
1.24
Revenue Per Share
21.147
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
The market value of Hexcel is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hexcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hexcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hexcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hexcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hexcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hexcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hexcel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hexcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.