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Hamilton Beach Probability of Target Price Finishing Over 20.0

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HBB -- USA Stock  

Sell-off Trend

Hamilton Beach probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Hamilton Beach time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hamilton Beach odds to be computed. Please check Hamilton Beach Backtesting, Hamilton Beach Valuation, Hamilton Beach Correlation, Hamilton Beach Hype Analysis, Hamilton Beach Volatility, Hamilton Beach History as well as Hamilton Beach Performance.
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Hamilton Beach Target Price Odds to finish over 20.0

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 20.00  or more in 30 days
 14.92 30 days 20.00 
about 6.93
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Hamilton Beach to move over $ 20.00  or more in 30 days from now is about 6.93 (This Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C probability density function shows the probability of Hamilton Beach Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Hamilton Beach Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 14.92  and $ 20.00  at the end of the 30-day period is about 89.27 .
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C has beta of -0.4035 . This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Hamilton Beach are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Hamilton Beach Brands Holding C is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Hamilton Beach Brands is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Hamilton Beach Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.31
β
Beta against DOW=0.4
σ
Overall volatility
=1.56
Ir
Information ratio =0.23

Hamilton Beach Alerts and Suggestions

Hamilton Beach generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Hamilton Beach has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Bona fide gift to Matthew M Rankin James T Rankin Cotrustees For William Alexander Rankin U of 111 shares of Hamilton Beach subject to Section 16

Hamilton BeachPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out2.36%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.35
Short Percent Of Float4.50%
Float Shares7.02M
Shares Short Prior Month277.7k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.06k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month35.11k
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.35%