Games Workshop Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 82.46
| GMWKF Stock | USD 121.10 1.90 1.54% |
Games |
Games Workshop Target Price Odds to finish over 82.46
The tendency of Games Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 82.46 in 90 days |
| 121.10 | 90 days | 82.46 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Games Workshop to stay above $ 82.46 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Games Workshop Group probability density function shows the probability of Games Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Games Workshop Group price to stay between $ 82.46 and its current price of $121.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Games Workshop Group has a beta of -0.0558. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Games Workshop are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Games Workshop Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Games Workshop Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Games Workshop Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Games Workshop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Games Workshop Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Games Workshop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Games Workshop Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Games Workshop is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Games Workshop's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Games Workshop Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Games Workshop within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.002 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Games Workshop Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Games Workshop for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Games Workshop Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Games Workshop Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Games Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Games Workshop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Games Workshop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.8 M |
Games Workshop Technical Analysis
Games Workshop's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Games Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Games Workshop Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Games Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Games Workshop Predictive Forecast Models
Games Workshop's time-series forecasting models is one of many Games Workshop's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Games Workshop's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Games Workshop Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Games Workshop for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Games Workshop Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Games Workshop Backtesting, Games Workshop Valuation, Games Workshop Correlation, Games Workshop Hype Analysis, Games Workshop Volatility, Games Workshop History as well as Games Workshop Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Games Pink Sheet analysis
When running Games Workshop's price analysis, check to measure Games Workshop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Games Workshop is operating at the current time. Most of Games Workshop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Games Workshop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Games Workshop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Games Workshop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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