GAMES WORKSHOP Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 75.41

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GMWKF -- USA Stock  

USD 91.15  2.74  3.10%

GAMES WORKSHOP probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAMES WORKSHOP GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAMES WORKSHOP time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAMES WORKSHOP odds to be computed. Plese check GAMES WORKSHOP Backtesting, GAMES WORKSHOP Valuation, GAMES WORKSHOP Correlation, GAMES WORKSHOP Hype Analysis, GAMES WORKSHOP Volatility, GAMES WORKSHOP History as well as GAMES WORKSHOP Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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GAMES WORKSHOP Target Price Odds to finish below 75.41

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 75.41  or more in 30 days
 91.15 30 days 75.41 
about 66.2
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAMES WORKSHOP to drop to $ 75.41  or more in 30 days from now is about 66.2 (This GAMES WORKSHOP GROUP probability density function shows the probability of GAMES WORKSHOP OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of GAMES WORKSHOP GROUP price to stay between $ 75.41  and its current price of $91.15 at the end of the 30-day period is about 31.8 .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAMES WORKSHOP has beta of 0.4821 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GAMES WORKSHOP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GAMES WORKSHOP GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.6484 implying that it can potentially generate 0.6484% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 GAMES WORKSHOP Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.65
β
Beta against DOW=0.48
σ
Overall volatility
=9.50
Ir
Information ratio =0.20

GAMES WORKSHOP Alerts and Suggestions

GAMES WORKSHOPPrice Density Drivers

Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.72
Float Shares31.11M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day250
Average Daily Volume In Three Month132
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.10%