Gb Sciences Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0449
| GBLX Stock | USD 0.01 0 36.00% |
GBLX |
GB Sciences Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0449
The tendency of GBLX Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.04 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.04 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GB Sciences to move over $ 0.04 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GB Sciences probability density function shows the probability of GBLX Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GB Sciences price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GB Sciences has a beta of 0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GB Sciences average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GB Sciences will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GB Sciences has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. GB Sciences Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GB Sciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GB Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GB Sciences' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GB Sciences Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GB Sciences is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GB Sciences' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GB Sciences, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GB Sciences within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0004 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
GB Sciences Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GB Sciences for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GB Sciences can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GB Sciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GB Sciences has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GB Sciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GB Sciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 397.31 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. GB Sciences has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist GB Sciences until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GB Sciences' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GB Sciences sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GBLX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GB Sciences' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (530.87 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (881.46 K). | |
| GB Sciences currently holds about 53.96 K in cash with (1.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of GB Sciences shares are held by company insiders |
GB Sciences Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GBLX Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GB Sciences' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GB Sciences' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 325 M |
GB Sciences Technical Analysis
GB Sciences' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GBLX Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GB Sciences. In general, you should focus on analyzing GBLX Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GB Sciences Predictive Forecast Models
GB Sciences' time-series forecasting models is one of many GB Sciences' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GB Sciences' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GB Sciences
Checking the ongoing alerts about GB Sciences for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GB Sciences help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GB Sciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| GB Sciences has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| GB Sciences has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| GB Sciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 397.31 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.07, which is about average as compared to similar companies. GB Sciences has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist GB Sciences until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GB Sciences' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GB Sciences sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GBLX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GB Sciences' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (530.87 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (881.46 K). | |
| GB Sciences currently holds about 53.96 K in cash with (1.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of GB Sciences shares are held by company insiders |
Check out GB Sciences Backtesting, GB Sciences Valuation, GB Sciences Correlation, GB Sciences Hype Analysis, GB Sciences Volatility, GB Sciences History as well as GB Sciences Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for GBLX Pink Sheet analysis
When running GB Sciences' price analysis, check to measure GB Sciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GB Sciences is operating at the current time. Most of GB Sciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GB Sciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GB Sciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GB Sciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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