FSB Bancorp Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 17.24

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FSBC -- USA Stock  

USD 17.08  0.10  0.59%

FSB Bancorp probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of FSB Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify FSB Bancorp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FSB Bancorp odds to be computed. Plese check FSB Bancorp Backtesting, FSB Bancorp Valuation, FSB Bancorp Correlation, FSB Bancorp Hype Analysis, FSB Bancorp Volatility, FSB Bancorp History as well as FSB Bancorp Performance.
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FSB Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 17.24

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 17.24  after 30 days
 17.08 30 days 17.24 
about 84.02
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of FSB Bancorp to stay under $ 17.24  after 30 days from now is about 84.02 (This FSB Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of FSB Bancorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of FSB Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 17.08  and $ 17.24  at the end of the 30-day period is about 28.19 .
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, FSB Bancorp has beta of -0.1596 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding FSB Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, FSB Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0134 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0134% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 FSB Bancorp Price Density 
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.16
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.1

FSB Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

The company reported previous year revenue of 9.75 M. Net Loss for the year was (513 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.75 M.
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FSB BancorpPrice Density Drivers

Float Shares1.42M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.69k
Shares Short Prior Month265
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.79k
Date Short InterestJanuary 31, 2020