Flexion Mobile (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.38

FLEXM Stock  SEK 8.92  0.02  0.22%   
Flexion Mobile's future price is the expected price of Flexion Mobile instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flexion Mobile PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Flexion Mobile Backtesting, Flexion Mobile Valuation, Flexion Mobile Correlation, Flexion Mobile Hype Analysis, Flexion Mobile Volatility, Flexion Mobile History as well as Flexion Mobile Performance.
  
Please specify Flexion Mobile's target price for which you would like Flexion Mobile odds to be computed.

Flexion Mobile Target Price Odds to finish below 9.38

The tendency of Flexion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 9.38  after 90 days
 8.92 90 days 9.38 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flexion Mobile to stay under kr 9.38  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Flexion Mobile PLC probability density function shows the probability of Flexion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flexion Mobile PLC price to stay between its current price of kr 8.92  and kr 9.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flexion Mobile has a beta of 0.72. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Flexion Mobile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flexion Mobile PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flexion Mobile PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Flexion Mobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flexion Mobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flexion Mobile PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flexion Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.458.9213.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.678.1412.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.209.6714.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.788.039.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flexion Mobile. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flexion Mobile's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flexion Mobile's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Flexion Mobile PLC.

Flexion Mobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flexion Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flexion Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flexion Mobile PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flexion Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Flexion Mobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flexion Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flexion Mobile PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flexion Mobile PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Flexion Mobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flexion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flexion Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flexion Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.5 M
Shares Float33.4 M

Flexion Mobile Technical Analysis

Flexion Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flexion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flexion Mobile PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flexion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flexion Mobile Predictive Forecast Models

Flexion Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flexion Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flexion Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flexion Mobile PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flexion Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flexion Mobile PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flexion Mobile PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Flexion Mobile Backtesting, Flexion Mobile Valuation, Flexion Mobile Correlation, Flexion Mobile Hype Analysis, Flexion Mobile Volatility, Flexion Mobile History as well as Flexion Mobile Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Flexion Stock analysis

When running Flexion Mobile's price analysis, check to measure Flexion Mobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flexion Mobile is operating at the current time. Most of Flexion Mobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flexion Mobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flexion Mobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flexion Mobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Flexion Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flexion Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flexion Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.