Factset Research Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 302.93

FDS Stock  USD 454.39  7.01  1.57%   
FactSet Research's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on FactSet Research Systems. Implied volatility approximates the future value of FactSet Research based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in FactSet Research Systems over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $450.0 is a CALL option contract on FactSet Research's common stock with a strick price of 450.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 15:56:51 for $7.1 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $5.3, and an ask price of $8.4. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 17.75. View All FactSet options

Closest to current price FactSet long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

FactSet Research's future price is the expected price of FactSet Research instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FactSet Research Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FactSet Research Backtesting, FactSet Research Valuation, FactSet Research Correlation, FactSet Research Hype Analysis, FactSet Research Volatility, FactSet Research History as well as FactSet Research Performance.
  
At this time, FactSet Research's Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 2.53 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 8.07 in 2024. Please specify FactSet Research's target price for which you would like FactSet Research odds to be computed.

FactSet Research Target Price Odds to finish over 302.93

The tendency of FactSet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 302.93  in 90 days
 454.39 90 days 302.93 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FactSet Research to stay above $ 302.93  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FactSet Research Systems probability density function shows the probability of FactSet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FactSet Research Systems price to stay between $ 302.93  and its current price of $454.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.11 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon FactSet Research has a beta of 0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FactSet Research average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FactSet Research Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FactSet Research Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   FactSet Research Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FactSet Research

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FactSet Research Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FactSet Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
452.00453.44454.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
450.87452.31453.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
418.24419.68421.12
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
404.95445.00493.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FactSet Research. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FactSet Research's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FactSet Research's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FactSet Research Systems.

FactSet Research Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FactSet Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FactSet Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FactSet Research Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FactSet Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.17
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.78
σ
Overall volatility
10.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

FactSet Research Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FactSet Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FactSet Research Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FactSet Research generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FactSet Research has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of March 2024 FactSet Research paid $ 0.98 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finnewsnetwork.com.au: SP 500 sets new high as market bounces back

FactSet Research Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FactSet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FactSet Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FactSet Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments457.7 M

FactSet Research Technical Analysis

FactSet Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FactSet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FactSet Research Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing FactSet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FactSet Research Predictive Forecast Models

FactSet Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many FactSet Research's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FactSet Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FactSet Research Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about FactSet Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FactSet Research Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FactSet Research generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
FactSet Research has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of March 2024 FactSet Research paid $ 0.98 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finnewsnetwork.com.au: SP 500 sets new high as market bounces back
When determining whether FactSet Research Systems is a strong investment it is important to analyze FactSet Research's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact FactSet Research's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding FactSet Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out FactSet Research Backtesting, FactSet Research Valuation, FactSet Research Correlation, FactSet Research Hype Analysis, FactSet Research Volatility, FactSet Research History as well as FactSet Research Performance.
Note that the FactSet Research Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FactSet Research's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running FactSet Research's price analysis, check to measure FactSet Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FactSet Research is operating at the current time. Most of FactSet Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FactSet Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FactSet Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FactSet Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FactSet Research's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FactSet Research. If investors know FactSet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FactSet Research listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.08
Dividend Share
3.92
Earnings Share
12.34
Revenue Per Share
56.495
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.06
The market value of FactSet Research Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FactSet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FactSet Research's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FactSet Research's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FactSet Research's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FactSet Research's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FactSet Research's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FactSet Research is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FactSet Research's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.