Fb Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.54

FBK Stock  USD 37.65  1.69  4.70%   
FB Financial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on FB Financial Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of FB Financial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in FB Financial Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on FB Financial's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-02-29 at 14:28:49 for $0.52 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.25, and an ask price of $0.95. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 37.92. View All FBK options

Closest to current price FBK long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

FB Financial's future price is the expected price of FB Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FB Financial Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FB Financial Backtesting, FB Financial Valuation, FB Financial Correlation, FB Financial Hype Analysis, FB Financial Volatility, FB Financial History as well as FB Financial Performance.
  
At this time, FB Financial's Price Book Value Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is expected to rise to 1.67 this year, although the value of Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to rise to (9.61). Please specify FB Financial's target price for which you would like FB Financial odds to be computed.

FB Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 39.54

The tendency of FBK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 39.54  or more in 90 days
 37.65 90 days 39.54 
about 6.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FB Financial to move over $ 39.54  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.04 (This FB Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of FBK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FB Financial Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 37.65  and $ 39.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.19 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.52 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FB Financial will likely underperform. Additionally FB Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   FB Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FB Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FB Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4437.6239.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7635.9438.12
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
31.4534.5638.36
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.680.700.73
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FB Financial Corp.

FB Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FB Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FB Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FB Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FB Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.52
σ
Overall volatility
1.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

FB Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FB Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FB Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FB Financial Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of February 2024 FB Financial paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: B. Riley Wealth Advisors Inc. Takes 208000 Position in FB Financial Co. - Defense World

FB Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FBK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments810.9 M

FB Financial Technical Analysis

FB Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FBK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FB Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FBK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FB Financial Predictive Forecast Models

FB Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many FB Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FB Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FB Financial Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about FB Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FB Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FB Financial Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 27th of February 2024 FB Financial paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: B. Riley Wealth Advisors Inc. Takes 208000 Position in FB Financial Co. - Defense World
When determining whether FB Financial Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if FBK Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Fb Financial Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Fb Financial Corp Stock:
Check out FB Financial Backtesting, FB Financial Valuation, FB Financial Correlation, FB Financial Hype Analysis, FB Financial Volatility, FB Financial History as well as FB Financial Performance.
Note that the FB Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FB Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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When running FB Financial's price analysis, check to measure FB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of FB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FB Financial. If investors know FBK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
2.57
Revenue Per Share
10.158
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
The market value of FB Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FBK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.