Meta Platforms Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 218.55

FBDelisted Stock  USD 169.49  1.83  1.07%   
Meta Platforms' future price is the expected price of Meta Platforms instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Meta Platforms performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
Please specify Meta Platforms' target price for which you would like Meta Platforms odds to be computed.

Meta Platforms Target Price Odds to finish over 218.55

The tendency of Meta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 218.55  or more in 90 days
 169.49 90 days 218.55 
about 15.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meta Platforms to move over $ 218.55  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.24 (This Meta Platforms probability density function shows the probability of Meta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meta Platforms price to stay between its current price of $ 169.49  and $ 218.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.12 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Meta Platforms has a beta of 0.0796. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Meta Platforms average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Meta Platforms will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Meta Platforms has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Meta Platforms Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Meta Platforms

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta Platforms. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Meta Platforms' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
169.49169.49169.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
154.85154.85186.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
172.34172.34172.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
169.08169.71170.35
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Meta Platforms. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Meta Platforms' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Meta Platforms' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Meta Platforms.

Meta Platforms Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meta Platforms is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meta Platforms' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meta Platforms, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meta Platforms within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
20.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Meta Platforms Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meta Platforms for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meta Platforms can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meta Platforms is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Meta Platforms has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: RERE INITIATION Leading Recycling Platform in Chinas Burgeoning Circular Economy

Meta Platforms Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meta Platforms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta Platforms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day24.6M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month32.54M

Meta Platforms Technical Analysis

Meta Platforms' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meta Platforms. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Meta Platforms Predictive Forecast Models

Meta Platforms' time-series forecasting models is one of many Meta Platforms' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meta Platforms' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Meta Platforms

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meta Platforms for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meta Platforms help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meta Platforms is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Meta Platforms has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: RERE INITIATION Leading Recycling Platform in Chinas Burgeoning Circular Economy
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Meta Platforms information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Meta Platforms' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Meta Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Meta Platforms check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Meta Platforms' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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