Ford Motor Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F -- USA Stock  

USD 10.33  0.13  1.27%

Ford Motor probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Ford Motor Company performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Ford Motor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ford Motor odds to be computed. Additionally see Ford Motor Backtesting, Ford Motor Valuation, Ford Motor Correlation, Ford Motor Hype Analysis, Ford Motor Volatility, Ford Motor History as well as Ford Motor Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Ford Motor Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 10.33 30 days 10.33 
ABOUT 9.77%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford Motor to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 9.77% (This Ford Motor Company probability density function shows the probability of Ford Motor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Ford Motor has beta of 0.0 suggesting the returns on DOW and Ford Motor do not appear to be highly-sensitive. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
 Ford Motor Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=0.23
Ir
Information ratio =0.00

Ford Motor Alerts and Suggestions

Ford Motor generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Ford Motor has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its interest payments
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ford MotorPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out3.08%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.60
Short Percent Of Float3.45%
Float Shares3.91B
Shares Short Prior Month108.29M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day29.88M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month36.16M
Date Short InterestJune 28, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.71%
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