Davita Healthcare Partners Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 67.96

DVA Stock  USD 136.85  1.60  1.18%   
DaVita HealthCare's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on DaVita HealthCare Partners. Implied volatility approximates the future value of DaVita HealthCare based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in DaVita HealthCare Partners over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $135.0 is a CALL option contract on DaVita HealthCare's common stock with a strick price of 135.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-26 at 15:25:10 for $4.6 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.8, and an ask price of $5.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of March is 28.6. View All DaVita options

Closest to current price DaVita long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

DaVita HealthCare's future price is the expected price of DaVita HealthCare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DaVita HealthCare Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DaVita HealthCare Backtesting, DaVita HealthCare Valuation, DaVita HealthCare Correlation, DaVita HealthCare Hype Analysis, DaVita HealthCare Volatility, DaVita HealthCare History as well as DaVita HealthCare Performance.
  
Please specify DaVita HealthCare's target price for which you would like DaVita HealthCare odds to be computed.

DaVita HealthCare Target Price Odds to finish below 67.96

The tendency of DaVita Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 67.96  or more in 90 days
 136.85 90 days 67.96 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DaVita HealthCare to drop to $ 67.96  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This DaVita HealthCare Partners probability density function shows the probability of DaVita Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DaVita HealthCare price to stay between $ 67.96  and its current price of $136.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.92 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon DaVita HealthCare has a beta of 0.97 suggesting DaVita HealthCare Partners market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, DaVita HealthCare is expected to follow. Additionally DaVita HealthCare Partners has an alpha of 0.2929, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DaVita HealthCare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DaVita HealthCare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DaVita HealthCare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DaVita HealthCare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
134.87136.85138.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
123.17152.46154.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
132.73134.71136.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
133.84135.62137.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DaVita HealthCare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DaVita HealthCare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DaVita HealthCare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DaVita HealthCare.

DaVita HealthCare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DaVita HealthCare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DaVita HealthCare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DaVita HealthCare Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DaVita HealthCare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.97
σ
Overall volatility
12.63
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

DaVita HealthCare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DaVita HealthCare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DaVita HealthCare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Accurays CyberKnife Improves Prostate Cancer Treatment

DaVita HealthCare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DaVita Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DaVita HealthCare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DaVita HealthCare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding93.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments476.2 M

DaVita HealthCare Technical Analysis

DaVita HealthCare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DaVita Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DaVita HealthCare Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing DaVita Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DaVita HealthCare Predictive Forecast Models

DaVita HealthCare's time-series forecasting models is one of many DaVita HealthCare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DaVita HealthCare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DaVita HealthCare

Checking the ongoing alerts about DaVita HealthCare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DaVita HealthCare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Accurays CyberKnife Improves Prostate Cancer Treatment
When determining whether DaVita HealthCare offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DaVita HealthCare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Davita Healthcare Partners Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Davita Healthcare Partners Stock:

Complementary Tools for DaVita Stock analysis

When running DaVita HealthCare's price analysis, check to measure DaVita HealthCare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DaVita HealthCare is operating at the current time. Most of DaVita HealthCare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DaVita HealthCare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DaVita HealthCare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DaVita HealthCare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Is DaVita HealthCare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DaVita HealthCare. If investors know DaVita will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DaVita HealthCare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of DaVita HealthCare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DaVita that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DaVita HealthCare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DaVita HealthCare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DaVita HealthCare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DaVita HealthCare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DaVita HealthCare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DaVita HealthCare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DaVita HealthCare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.