Duke Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 101.43
| DUK Stock | USD 94.13 0.77 0.81% |
Closest to current price Duke long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Duke |
Duke Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 101.43
The tendency of Duke Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 101.43 after 90 days |
| 94.13 | 90 days | 101.43 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Duke Energy to stay under $ 101.43 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Duke Energy probability density function shows the probability of Duke Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Duke Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 94.13 and $ 101.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Duke Energy has a beta of 0.65 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Duke Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Duke Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Duke Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Duke Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Duke Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duke Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duke Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Duke Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Duke Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Duke Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Duke Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Duke Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Duke Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Duke Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Duke Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Duke Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 80.64 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.69, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Duke Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duke Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duke Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duke Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Duke Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of Duke Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of March 2024 Duke Energy paid $ 1.025 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CMS Energy Arm Divests Appliance Service Plan Business |
Duke Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Duke Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Duke Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duke Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 771 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 329 M |
Duke Energy Technical Analysis
Duke Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Duke Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Duke Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Duke Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Duke Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Duke Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Duke Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Duke Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Duke Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Duke Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duke Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Duke Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has 80.64 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is OK given its current industry classification. Duke Energy has a current ratio of 0.69, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Duke Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Duke Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Duke Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Duke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Duke Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Duke Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of Duke Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of March 2024 Duke Energy paid $ 1.025 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CMS Energy Arm Divests Appliance Service Plan Business |
Check out Duke Energy Backtesting, Duke Energy Valuation, Duke Energy Correlation, Duke Energy Hype Analysis, Duke Energy Volatility, Duke Energy History as well as Duke Energy Performance. For more information on how to buy Duke Stock please use our How to buy in Duke Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
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When running Duke Energy's price analysis, check to measure Duke Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duke Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Duke Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duke Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duke Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duke Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Duke Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duke Energy. If investors know Duke will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duke Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 4.06 | Earnings Share 5.35 | Revenue Per Share 37.097 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Duke Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duke that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duke Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duke Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duke Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duke Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duke Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duke Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duke Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.