Dow Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 44.87
| DOW Stock | USD 56.98 0.24 0.42% |
Closest to current price Dow long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Dow |
Dow Target Price Odds to finish over 44.87
The tendency of Dow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 44.87 in 90 days |
| 56.98 | 90 days | 44.87 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dow to stay above $ 44.87 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Dow Inc probability density function shows the probability of Dow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dow Inc price to stay between $ 44.87 and its current price of $56.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting Dow Inc market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Dow is expected to follow. Additionally Dow Inc has an alpha of 0.0361, implying that it can generate a 0.0361 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dow Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dow
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dow Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dow's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dow Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dow Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Dow Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dow Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of March 2024 Dow paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: US STOCKS-Wall St stocks advance with major corporate earnings i |
Dow Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 709 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
Dow Technical Analysis
Dow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dow Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dow Predictive Forecast Models
Dow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dow's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dow Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dow Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 8th of March 2024 Dow paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: US STOCKS-Wall St stocks advance with major corporate earnings i |
Check out Dow Backtesting, Dow Valuation, Dow Correlation, Dow Hype Analysis, Dow Volatility, Dow History as well as Dow Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for Dow Stock analysis
When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dow's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dow. If investors know Dow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dow listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 2.8 | Earnings Share 0.82 | Revenue Per Share 63.231 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
The market value of Dow Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dow's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dow's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dow's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dow's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dow's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dow is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dow's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.