Dlh Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.25
| DLHC Stock | USD 11.04 0.08 0.72% |
Closest to current price DLH long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
DLH |
DLH Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 8.25
The tendency of DLH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.25 in 90 days |
| 11.04 | 90 days | 8.25 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DLH Holdings to stay above $ 8.25 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This DLH Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of DLH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DLH Holdings Corp price to stay between $ 8.25 and its current price of $11.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days DLH Holdings has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, DLH Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding DLH Holdings Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DLH Holdings Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. DLH Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for DLH Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DLH Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DLH Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DLH Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DLH Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DLH Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DLH Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DLH Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
DLH Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DLH Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DLH Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| DLH Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DLH Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at StockNews.com - MarketBeat |
DLH Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DLH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DLH Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DLH Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 215 K |
DLH Holdings Technical Analysis
DLH Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DLH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DLH Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing DLH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DLH Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
DLH Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many DLH Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DLH Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DLH Holdings Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about DLH Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DLH Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| DLH Holdings Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: DLH Rating Increased to Strong-Buy at StockNews.com - MarketBeat |
Check out DLH Holdings Backtesting, DLH Holdings Valuation, DLH Holdings Correlation, DLH Holdings Hype Analysis, DLH Holdings Volatility, DLH Holdings History as well as DLH Holdings Performance. Note that the DLH Holdings Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other DLH Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for DLH Stock analysis
When running DLH Holdings' price analysis, check to measure DLH Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DLH Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of DLH Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DLH Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DLH Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DLH Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DLH Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DLH Holdings. If investors know DLH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DLH Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.364 | Earnings Share 0.14 | Revenue Per Share 28.878 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.345 | Return On Assets 0.0495 |
The market value of DLH Holdings Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DLH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DLH Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DLH Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DLH Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DLH Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DLH Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DLH Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DLH Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.