Dhi Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.89
DHX Stock | USD 2.43 0.04 1.67% |
Closest to current price DHI long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
DHI |
DHI Target Price Odds to finish below 2.89
The tendency of DHI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.89 after 90 days |
2.43 | 90 days | 2.89 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DHI to stay under $ 2.89 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This DHI Group probability density function shows the probability of DHI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of DHI Group price to stay between its current price of $ 2.43 and $ 2.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.63 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.19 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DHI will likely underperform. Additionally DHI Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. DHI Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for DHI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DHI Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DHI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DHI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DHI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DHI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DHI Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DHI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0086 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
DHI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DHI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DHI Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.DHI Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
DHI Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company has 46.55 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.36, which is OK given its current industry classification. DHI Group has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist DHI until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DHI's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DHI Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DHI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DHI's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 73.0% of DHI shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DHI Group Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital |
DHI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DHI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DHI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DHI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 M |
DHI Technical Analysis
DHI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DHI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DHI Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing DHI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
DHI Predictive Forecast Models
DHI's time-series forecasting models is one of many DHI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DHI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about DHI Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about DHI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DHI Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DHI Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
DHI Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
The company has 46.55 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.36, which is OK given its current industry classification. DHI Group has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist DHI until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DHI's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DHI Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DHI to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DHI's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
About 73.0% of DHI shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: DHI Group Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital |
Check out DHI Backtesting, DHI Valuation, DHI Correlation, DHI Hype Analysis, DHI Volatility, DHI History as well as DHI Performance. Note that the DHI Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other DHI's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for DHI Stock analysis
When running DHI's price analysis, check to measure DHI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DHI is operating at the current time. Most of DHI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DHI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DHI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DHI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is DHI's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DHI. If investors know DHI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DHI listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share 3.486 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0241 |
The market value of DHI Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DHI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DHI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DHI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DHI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DHI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DHI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DHI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DHI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.