Deutsche Brse Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 151.75

DBOEF Stock  USD 205.50  1.50  0.74%   
Deutsche Brse's future price is the expected price of Deutsche Brse instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Deutsche Brse AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Deutsche Brse Backtesting, Deutsche Brse Valuation, Deutsche Brse Correlation, Deutsche Brse Hype Analysis, Deutsche Brse Volatility, Deutsche Brse History as well as Deutsche Brse Performance.
  
Please specify Deutsche Brse's target price for which you would like Deutsche Brse odds to be computed.

Deutsche Brse Target Price Odds to finish below 151.75

The tendency of Deutsche Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 151.75  or more in 90 days
 205.50 90 days 151.75 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deutsche Brse to drop to $ 151.75  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Deutsche Brse AG probability density function shows the probability of Deutsche Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deutsche Brse AG price to stay between $ 151.75  and its current price of $205.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Deutsche Brse has a beta of 0.39 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Deutsche Brse average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Deutsche Brse AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Deutsche Brse AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Deutsche Brse Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Deutsche Brse

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deutsche Brse AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Deutsche Brse's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.40205.50206.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
203.34204.44205.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
206.32207.42208.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
203.59205.00206.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Brse. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Brse's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Brse's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Brse AG.

Deutsche Brse Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deutsche Brse is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deutsche Brse's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deutsche Brse AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deutsche Brse within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.39
σ
Overall volatility
3.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Deutsche Brse Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deutsche Brse for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deutsche Brse AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Deutsche Brse Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deutsche Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deutsche Brse's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Brse's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding183.6 M

Deutsche Brse Technical Analysis

Deutsche Brse's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deutsche Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deutsche Brse AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deutsche Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Deutsche Brse Predictive Forecast Models

Deutsche Brse's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deutsche Brse's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deutsche Brse's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Deutsche Brse AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Deutsche Brse for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deutsche Brse AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Check out Deutsche Brse Backtesting, Deutsche Brse Valuation, Deutsche Brse Correlation, Deutsche Brse Hype Analysis, Deutsche Brse Volatility, Deutsche Brse History as well as Deutsche Brse Performance.
Note that the Deutsche Brse AG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Deutsche Brse's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for Deutsche Pink Sheet analysis

When running Deutsche Brse's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Brse's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Brse is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Brse's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Brse's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Brse's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Brse to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Brse's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Brse is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Brse's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.