Calamos Opportunistic Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.35

CVAAX Fund  USD 20.33  0.01  0.05%   
Calamos Opportunistic's future price is the expected price of Calamos Opportunistic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Calamos Opportunistic Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Calamos Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Opportunistic Correlation, Calamos Opportunistic Hype Analysis, Calamos Opportunistic Volatility, Calamos Opportunistic History as well as Calamos Opportunistic Performance.
  
Please specify Calamos Opportunistic's target price for which you would like Calamos Opportunistic odds to be computed.

Calamos Opportunistic Target Price Odds to finish over 14.35

The tendency of Calamos Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 14.35  in 90 days
 20.33 90 days 14.35 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Opportunistic to stay above $ 14.35  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Calamos Opportunistic Value probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Opportunistic price to stay between $ 14.35  and its current price of $20.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.03 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Calamos Opportunistic has a beta of 0.95 suggesting Calamos Opportunistic Value market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Calamos Opportunistic is expected to follow. Additionally Calamos Opportunistic Value has an alpha of 0.0324, implying that it can generate a 0.0324 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Calamos Opportunistic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Calamos Opportunistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Calamos Opportunistic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.6220.3421.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.6820.0720.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Calamos Opportunistic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Calamos Opportunistic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Calamos Opportunistic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Calamos Opportunistic.

Calamos Opportunistic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Opportunistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Opportunistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Opportunistic Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Opportunistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Calamos Opportunistic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Calamos Opportunistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Calamos Opportunistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Calamos Opportunistic Technical Analysis

Calamos Opportunistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Opportunistic Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Calamos Opportunistic Predictive Forecast Models

Calamos Opportunistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Opportunistic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Opportunistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Calamos Opportunistic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Calamos Opportunistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Calamos Opportunistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 5.24% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Check out Calamos Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Opportunistic Correlation, Calamos Opportunistic Hype Analysis, Calamos Opportunistic Volatility, Calamos Opportunistic History as well as Calamos Opportunistic Performance.
Note that the Calamos Opportunistic information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Calamos Opportunistic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Complementary Tools for Calamos Mutual Fund analysis

When running Calamos Opportunistic's price analysis, check to measure Calamos Opportunistic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Calamos Opportunistic is operating at the current time. Most of Calamos Opportunistic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Calamos Opportunistic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Calamos Opportunistic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Calamos Opportunistic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Calamos Opportunistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Calamos Opportunistic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Calamos Opportunistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.