Coastal Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.21

CCB Stock  USD 38.87  0.41  1.07%   
Coastal Financial's future price is the expected price of Coastal Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coastal Financial Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coastal Financial Backtesting, Coastal Financial Valuation, Coastal Financial Correlation, Coastal Financial Hype Analysis, Coastal Financial Volatility, Coastal Financial History as well as Coastal Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Coastal Financial's target price for which you would like Coastal Financial odds to be computed.

Coastal Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 11.21

The tendency of Coastal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.21  or more in 90 days
 38.87 90 days 11.21 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coastal Financial to drop to $ 11.21  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Coastal Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Coastal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coastal Financial Corp price to stay between $ 11.21  and its current price of $38.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.31 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Coastal Financial will likely underperform. Additionally Coastal Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Coastal Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coastal Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coastal Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coastal Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.9338.8740.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.4439.3841.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.2039.1441.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.9537.7039.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coastal Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coastal Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coastal Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Coastal Financial Corp.

Coastal Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coastal Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coastal Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coastal Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coastal Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.43
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.77
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Coastal Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coastal Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coastal Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coastal Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Coastal Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coastal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coastal Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coastal Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-31.3 M

Coastal Financial Technical Analysis

Coastal Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coastal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coastal Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coastal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coastal Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Coastal Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coastal Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coastal Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coastal Financial Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coastal Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coastal Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coastal Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
When determining whether Coastal Financial Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Coastal Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Coastal Financial Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Coastal Financial Corp Stock:
Check out Coastal Financial Backtesting, Coastal Financial Valuation, Coastal Financial Correlation, Coastal Financial Hype Analysis, Coastal Financial Volatility, Coastal Financial History as well as Coastal Financial Performance.
Note that the Coastal Financial Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Coastal Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running Coastal Financial's price analysis, check to measure Coastal Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coastal Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Coastal Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coastal Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coastal Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coastal Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Coastal Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coastal Financial. If investors know Coastal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coastal Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Coastal Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coastal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coastal Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coastal Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coastal Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coastal Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coastal Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coastal Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coastal Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.