Crocs (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.89

C7N Stock  EUR 131.76  2.64  2.04%   
Crocs' future price is the expected price of Crocs instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crocs Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crocs Backtesting, Crocs Valuation, Crocs Correlation, Crocs Hype Analysis, Crocs Volatility, Crocs History as well as Crocs Performance.
  
Please specify Crocs' target price for which you would like Crocs odds to be computed.

Crocs Target Price Odds to finish below 31.89

The tendency of Crocs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 31.89  or more in 90 days
 131.76 90 days 31.89 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crocs to drop to € 31.89  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Crocs Inc probability density function shows the probability of Crocs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crocs Inc price to stay between € 31.89  and its current price of €131.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 suggesting Crocs Inc market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Crocs is expected to follow. Additionally Crocs Inc has an alpha of 0.5398, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crocs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crocs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crocs Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crocs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.34131.76135.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
118.58139.74143.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
138.04141.46144.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.60118.05132.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crocs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crocs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crocs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crocs Inc.

Crocs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crocs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crocs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crocs Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crocs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.54
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.04
σ
Overall volatility
13.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Crocs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crocs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crocs Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crocs Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Crocs Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crocs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crocs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crocs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding61.7 M
Short Long Term Debt24.4 M

Crocs Technical Analysis

Crocs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crocs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crocs Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crocs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crocs Predictive Forecast Models

Crocs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Crocs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crocs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crocs Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crocs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crocs Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crocs Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
When determining whether Crocs Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Crocs' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Crocs Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Crocs Inc Stock:
Check out Crocs Backtesting, Crocs Valuation, Crocs Correlation, Crocs Hype Analysis, Crocs Volatility, Crocs History as well as Crocs Performance.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Crocs Stock analysis

When running Crocs' price analysis, check to measure Crocs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crocs is operating at the current time. Most of Crocs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crocs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crocs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crocs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Crocs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crocs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crocs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.