Citigroup Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 75.33

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C -- USA Stock  

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Citigroup probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Citigroup performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Citigroup time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Citigroup odds to be computed. Continue to Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish below 75.33

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 75.33  or more in 30 days
 78.42 30 days 75.33 
about 31.58
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to drop to $ 75.33  or more in 30 days from now is about 31.58 (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between $ 75.33  and its current price of $78.42 at the end of the 30-day period is about 41.51 .
Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, Citigroup has beta of -0.1272 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Citigroup are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Citigroup is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1362 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1362% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Citigroup Price Density 
    
  Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.14
β
Beta against DOW=0.13
σ
Overall volatility
=2.82
Ir
Information ratio =0.023799

Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions

CITIGROUP INC has accumulated about 760.54 B in cash with (28.47 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 348.36.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: C or BAC Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now - Yahoo Finance

CitigroupPrice Density Drivers

Shares Percent Shares Out0.87%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.92
Short Percent Of Float0.82%
Float Shares2.11B
Shares Short Prior Month18.89M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day16.09M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month11.76M
Date Short InterestDecember 31, 2019
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.37%